VWAP & SD Bands
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is the single most important intraday indicator for institutional traders. It answers one question: "At what average price did all market participants transact today?" Unlike a simple moving average, VWAP weights each price by the volume traded at that price — making it a true measure of value.
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Large fund managers are evaluated based on whether their trades beat VWAP. A fund that bought below VWAP executed better than average. This creates a self-fulfilling magnet — institutions buy below VWAP and sell above it, pulling price back to VWAP repeatedly.
SD bands around VWAP function like Bollinger Bands but anchored to traded volume. +1 SD catches ~68% of price action. +2 SD catches ~95%. When price hits +2 SD, only 5% of trading sessions historically go further — making it a high-probability reversal zone.
On the MarketQuants dashboard, each signal shows a VWAP Stretch badge: the % gap between entry price and VWAP. Blue (<1%) = healthy entry near VWAP. Amber (1-2%) = extended. Red (>2%) = overextended — high reversal risk. A signal with ≥2% stretch has already moved significantly from institutional fair value.